Equatorial Guinea vs Nigeria: result 1-3 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on January 23, 2018 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio de Malabo, Malabo
Full time
What was the result of Equatorial Guinea vs Nigeria?
Nigeria won 1-3 on January 23, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 40′262033Equatorial Guinea
- 58′A. OkpotuNigeria
- 69′O. SolomonNigeria
- 83′Rabiu AliNigeria (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Equatorial Guinea have 4 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Nigeria have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2018 | Rwanda(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 15, 2018 | Libya(away) | 0-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 9, 2017 | Mauritius(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Benin(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Senegal(away) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2018 | Libya(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 15, 2018 | Rwanda(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 14, 2017 | Argentina(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 10, 2017 | Algeria(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Zambia(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Equatorial Guinea score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 13; Nigeria score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equatorial Guinea | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/13 | 6/13 |
| Nigeria | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nigeria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy