Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kayseri Atatürk Spor Kompleksi Yan Açık Saha, Kayseri
The Footlab model makes Talasgücü Belediyespor the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Talasgücü Belediyespor (1,578) and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu (1,520).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Talasgücü Belediyespor have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(home) | 3-4 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Niğde Belediyesispor(home) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home) | 0-6 | 2. Lig |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(home) | 1-8 | 2. Lig |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Kırklarelispor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Isparta 32 Spor(home) | 3-5 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Talasgücü Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu score 1.4 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talasgücü Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu | 1.4 | 3.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
- The Footlab model makes Talasgücü Belediyespor the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
- Where and when is Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu played?
- Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kayseri Atatürk Spor Kompleksi Yan Açık Saha, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026Kırşehir BelediyesporvsYeni Malatyaspor
- Sep 13, 2026Karaman FKvsBitlis Özgüzelderespor
- Sep 13, 2026Yeşilyurt BelediyesporvsKırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
- Sep 13, 2026Karaköprü BelediyesporvsOsmaniyespor
- Sep 13, 2026Mazıdağı FosfatsporvsDiyarbekirspor
- Sep 13, 2026Silifke BelediyesporvsAğrı 1970
- Sep 13, 2026Niğde BelediyesisporvsYozgat Bld Bozokspor
- Sep 13, 2026Adana AdaletgucuvsAdanaspor