Match

Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kayseri Atatürk Spor Kompleksi Yan Açık Saha, Kayseri

Talasgücü BelediyesporYeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

The Footlab model makes Talasgücü Belediyespor the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Talasgücü Belediyespor (1,578) and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu (1,520).

Talasgücü Belediyespor win54 %
Draw25 %
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Talasgücü Belediyespor have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Talasgücü Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 8, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(home)3-43. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away)0-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home)2-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away)1-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Niğde Belediyesispor(home)3-23. Lig - Group 2
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 28, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)0-62. Lig
Jan 24, 2026Bursaspor(away)0-32. Lig
Jan 17, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)1-82. Lig
Dec 22, 2025Kırklarelispor(away)1-12. Lig
Dec 17, 2025Isparta 32 Spor(home)3-52. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Talasgücü Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu score 1.4 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Talasgücü Belediyespor1.71.359/157/15
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu1.43.036/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
The Footlab model makes Talasgücü Belediyespor the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
Where and when is Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu played?
Talasgücü Belediyespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kayseri Atatürk Spor Kompleksi Yan Açık Saha, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Talasgücü Belediyespor and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

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