Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu played?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, Mardin

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (1,591) and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu (1,531).

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win53 %

Draw26 %

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 27, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)	1-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 12, 2026	Niğde Belediyesispor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026	Kahramanmaraşspor(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026	Diyarbekirspor(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 2

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jan 28, 2026	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)	0-6	2. Lig
Jan 24, 2026	Bursaspor(away)	0-3	2. Lig
Jan 17, 2026	68 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)	1-8	2. Lig
Dec 22, 2025	Kırklarelispor(away)	1-1	2. Lig
Dec 17, 2025	Isparta 32 Spor(home)	3-5	2. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu score 1.4 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	0.7	0.8	7	5/15	3/15
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	1.4	3.0	3	6/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?: The Footlab model makes Mazıdağı Fosfatspor the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
Where and when is Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu played?: Mazıdağı Fosfatspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 21 Kasım Şehir Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.