Where and when is Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor played?

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, Malatya

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

Diyarbekirspor

The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Diyarbekirspor. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Yeşilyurt Belediyespor (1,621) and Diyarbekirspor (1,523).

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win64 %

Draw22 %

Diyarbekirspor win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Diyarbekirspor have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Çorluspor 1947(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	4-3	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2026	Silifke Belediyespor(away)	1-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026	Silifke Belediyespor(home)	3-1	3. Lig - Play-offs

Diyarbekirspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Kahramanmaraşspor(home)	2-2	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026	Kilis Belediyespor(away)	4-0	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026	Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 25, 2026	Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)	1-1	3. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Diyarbekirspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2026	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 1-0 Diyarbekirspor	3. Lig - Group 2
Oct 18, 2025	Diyarbekirspor 2-2 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 11, 2021	Diyarbekirspor 3-3 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	3. Lig - Group 1
Nov 1, 2020	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 0-1 Diyarbekirspor	3. Lig - Group 1
Feb 2, 2020	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 1-1 Diyarbekirspor	3. Lig - Group 3
Sep 21, 2019	Diyarbekirspor 2-0 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	2.1	1.1	4	10/15	8/15
Diyarbekirspor	1.1	1.3	5	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor?: The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Diyarbekirspor.
Where and when is Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor played?: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Diyarbekirspor is played on January 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.