MC Alger vs USM Alger: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ali-la-Pointe, Douera
The Footlab model makes MC Alger the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for USM Alger. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MC Alger vs USM Alger?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate MC Alger (2,005) and USM Alger (1,914).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MC Alger have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; USM Alger have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 5, 2026 | ASO Chlef(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | ES Setif(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | MC Oran(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Ben Aknoun(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 2, 2026 | CR Belouizdad(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | MB Rouisset(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2026 | Khenchela(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 MC Alger win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 USM Alger win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | MC Alger 1-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MC Alger 1-0 USM Alger | Super Cup |
| Aug 31, 2025 | USM Alger 0-0 MC Alger | Ligue 1 |
| May 23, 2025 | MC Alger 1-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 24, 2025 | USM Alger 0-3 MC Alger | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2024 | MC Alger 1-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
MC Alger score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; USM Alger score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Alger | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| USM Alger | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MC Alger sit 1st in Ligue 1 (65 points from 30 matches) and USM Alger sit 10th (39 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MC Alger | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 18 | 65 |
| 10 | USM Alger | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MC Alger vs USM Alger?
- The Footlab model makes MC Alger the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for USM Alger.
- Where and when is MC Alger vs USM Alger played?
- MC Alger vs USM Alger is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ali-la-Pointe, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.