MC Oran vs USM Alger: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 24Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Olympique d'Oran, Bir El Djir
The Footlab AI model makes MC Oran the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for USM Alger. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MC Oran vs USM Alger?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate MC Oran (1,878) and USM Alger (1,901).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MC Oran vs USM Alger
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MC Oran
4-3-3- 26I. Saâdi
- 11B. Traoré
- 7E. Matouti
- 8J. Aguieb
- 6O. Embarek
- 4A. Bourdim
- 20M. Belkhither
- 24A. Kerroum
- 5M. Hadded
- 12O. Kaddour
- 1M. Zeghba
USM Alger
4-3-3- 24M. Bouderbala
- 29D. Kamagate
- 15M. Ramdaoui
- 11G. Likonza
- 6Z. Draoui
- 10D. Bensaadallah
- 12H. Loucif
- 28A. Abada
- 5I. Azzi
- 20R. Mahrouz
- 1O. Benbot
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MC Oran have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; USM Alger have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | US Biskra(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | ES Setif(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | ASO Chlef(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Témouchent(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Muaither SC(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | JS Saoura(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | MB Rouisset(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Olympique Akbou(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | JS El Biar(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Khenchela(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 MC Oran wins, 2 draws, 2 USM Alger wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | MC Oran 2-2 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 8, 2026 | USM Alger 1-1 MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 20, 2025 | MC Oran 4-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 26, 2024 | USM Alger 3-0 MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| May 21, 2024 | MC Oran 1-0 USM Alger | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 15, 2024 | USM Alger 2-0 MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
MC Oran score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; USM Alger score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Oran | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| USM Alger | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MC Oran sit 2nd in Ligue 1 (10 points from 4 matches) and USM Alger sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MC Oran | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 | USM Alger | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
A question about MC Oran vs USM Alger?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MC Oran vs USM Alger?
- The Footlab AI model makes MC Oran the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for USM Alger.
- Where and when is MC Oran vs USM Alger played?
- MC Oran vs USM Alger is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Olympique d'Oran, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.