Match

Mebrat Hayl vs Bahardar: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba

Mebrat HaylBahardar

The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 28% for Mebrat Hayl, 37% for a draw, 35% for Bahardar. The most likely score is 0-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,604 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mebrat Hayl vs Bahardar?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Mebrat Hayl (1,524) and Bahardar (1,563).

28%37%35%
Mebrat Hayl winDrawBahardar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mebrat Hayl vs Bahardar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mebrat Hayl

4-3-3
  1. 7A. Tiruneh
  2. 9H. Hussien
  3. 10G. Eyob
  1. 14A. Tesfaye
  2. 17H. Shewalem
  3. 5H. Gebrehiwot
  1. 13B. B. Babulo
  2. 4B. Woldeyohannes
  3. 21Y. Yemane
  4. 31B. Asresahegn
  1. 45A. Tesfaye

Bahardar

Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mebrat Hayl have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bahardar have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mebrat Hayl
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Kedus Giorgis(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 25, 2026Ethiopia Bunna(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 20, 2026Sheger Ketema(home)1-0Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Negelle Arsi(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 9, 2026Adama Kenema(home)0-1Premier League
Bahardar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Fasil Ketema(away)2-2Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Welayta Dicha(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Halaba Ketema(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 3, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away)2-2Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mebrat Hayl win, 1 draw, 4 Bahardar wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026Mebrat Hayl 0-0 BahardarPremier League
Nov 22, 2025Bahardar 2-0 Mebrat HaylPremier League
May 2, 2025Bahardar 2-0 Mebrat HaylPremier League
Oct 22, 2024Mebrat Hayl 1-0 BahardarPremier League
Mar 8, 2023Mebrat Hayl 1-3 BahardarPremier League
Sep 30, 2022Bahardar 2-1 Mebrat HaylPremier League

Last archived meeting: Mebrat Hayl vs Bahardar on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mebrat Hayl score 0.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bahardar score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mebrat Hayl0.80.856/154/15
Bahardar0.90.965/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mebrat Hayl sit 8th in Premier League (7 points from 5 matches) and Bahardar sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Bahardar4211647
8Mebrat Hayl5212227

A question about Mebrat Hayl vs Bahardar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mebrat Hayl vs Bahardar?
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 28% for Mebrat Hayl, 37% for a draw, 35% for Bahardar.
Where and when is Mebrat Hayl vs Bahardar played?
Mebrat Hayl vs Bahardar is played on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mebrat Hayl and Bahardar

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