Bahardar vs Gamo Chencha: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 35% for Bahardar, 37% for a draw, 28% for Gamo Chencha. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,823 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bahardar vs Gamo Chencha?
On Elo ratings, Bahardar has 1,563 points and Gamo Chencha 1,449.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bahardar vs Gamo Chencha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bahardar
Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.
Gamo Chencha
Not enough data to predict the Gamo Chencha lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 06:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahardar have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Gamo Chencha have 0, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Welayta Dicha(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Sidama Bunna(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahardar score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gamo Chencha score 0.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahardar | 0.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Gamo Chencha | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0/3 | 0/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahardar sit 5th in Premier League (6 points from 3 matches) and Gamo Chencha sit 17th (1 point from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bahardar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 17 | Gamo Chencha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Bahardar vs Gamo Chencha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bahardar vs Gamo Chencha?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 35% for Bahardar, 37% for a draw, 28% for Gamo Chencha.
- Where and when is Bahardar vs Gamo Chencha played?
- Bahardar vs Gamo Chencha is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bahir Dar Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Fasil KetemavsAwassa Kenema
- May 22, 2027MekelakeyavsEthiopia Bunna
- May 22, 2027Welayta DichavsAdama Kenema
- May 22, 2027Welwalo Adigrat UnivsSidama Bunna
- May 22, 2027Ethiopia Nigd BankvsMebrat Hayl
- May 22, 2027Hadiya HosaenavsNegelle Arsi
- May 22, 2027Ethiopian MedhinvsKedus Giorgis
- May 22, 2027Halaba KetemavsSheger Ketema