Mebrat Hayl vs Halaba Ketema: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba
The Footlab AI model makes Mebrat Hayl the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Halaba Ketema. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,073 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mebrat Hayl vs Halaba Ketema?
On Elo ratings, Mebrat Hayl has 1,524 points and Halaba Ketema 1,474.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mebrat Hayl vs Halaba Ketema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mebrat Hayl
4-3-3- 7A. Tiruneh
- 9H. Hussien
- 10G. Eyob
- 14A. Tesfaye
- 17H. Shewalem
- 5H. Gebrehiwot
- 13B. B. Babulo
- 4B. Woldeyohannes
- 21Y. Yemane
- 31B. Asresahegn
- 45A. Tesfaye
Halaba Ketema
Not enough data to predict the Halaba Ketema lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 08:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mebrat Hayl have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Halaba Ketema have 2, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Sheger Ketema(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Adama Kenema(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Welayta Dicha(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Bahardar(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mebrat Hayl score 0.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Halaba Ketema score 1.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mebrat Hayl | 0.8 | 0.8 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Halaba Ketema | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mebrat Hayl sit 8th in Premier League (7 points from 5 matches) and Halaba Ketema sit 5th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Halaba Ketema | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| 8 | Mebrat Hayl | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
A question about Mebrat Hayl vs Halaba Ketema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mebrat Hayl vs Halaba Ketema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mebrat Hayl the favourite at 51%, against 30% for a draw and 19% for Halaba Ketema.
- Where and when is Mebrat Hayl vs Halaba Ketema played?
- Mebrat Hayl vs Halaba Ketema is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Adama KenemavsSidama Bunna
- Nov 21, 2026BahardarvsEthiopian Medhin
- Nov 21, 2026Ethiopia BunnavsWelayta Dicha
- Nov 21, 2026Fasil KetemavsEthiopia Nigd Bank
- Nov 21, 2026Kedus GiorgisvsHadiya Hosaena
- Nov 21, 2026Welwalo Adigrat UnivsMekelakeya
- Nov 21, 2026Sheger KetemavsAwassa Kenema
- Nov 21, 2026Negelle ArsivsGamo Chencha