Match

Meerbusch vs SSVg Velbert: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Lank, Meerbusch

MeerbuschSSVg Velbert

The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Meerbusch. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Meerbusch vs SSVg Velbert?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Meerbusch (1,733) and SSVg Velbert (1,812).

Meerbusch win36 %
Draw23 %
SSVg Velbert win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Meerbusch have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; SSVg Velbert have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Meerbusch
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SF Baumberg(home)2-4Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 14, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf II(away)0-3Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jun 7, 2026SW Essen(away)4-3Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 29, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05(home)1-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 17, 2026Büderich(away)1-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
SSVg Velbert
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SW Essen(away)4-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 16, 2026Wuppertaler SV(home)1-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 12, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)0-8Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Sportfreunde Siegen(away)1-3Regionalliga - West
May 8, 2026Paderborn II(home)1-3Regionalliga - West

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Meerbusch win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 SSVg Velbert win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2025SSVg Velbert 0-2 MeerbuschOberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 18, 2024Meerbusch 1-1 SSVg VelbertOberliga - Niederrhein
Apr 6, 2023Meerbusch 1-3 SSVg VelbertOberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 7, 2022SSVg Velbert 4-1 MeerbuschOberliga - Niederrhein
Jun 3, 2022Meerbusch 1-3 SSVg VelbertOberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 10, 2021SSVg Velbert 2-1 MeerbuschOberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: SSVg Velbert vs Meerbusch on Feb 21, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Meerbusch score 1.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Meerbusch1.72.5110/1512/15
SSVg Velbert1.32.1210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Meerbusch sit 15th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 1 matches) and SSVg Velbert sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1SSVg Velbert2200516
15Meerbusch1001030

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Meerbusch vs SSVg Velbert?
The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Meerbusch.
Where and when is Meerbusch vs SSVg Velbert played?
Meerbusch vs SSVg Velbert is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Lank, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Meerbusch and SSVg Velbert

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