Where and when is SSVg Velbert vs SF Baumberg played?

SSVg Velbert vs SF Baumberg is played on December 4, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at IMS Arena, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SSVg Velbert vs SF Baumberg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 15Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)IMS Arena, Velbert

SSVg Velbert

SF Baumberg

The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for SF Baumberg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SSVg Velbert vs SF Baumberg?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate SSVg Velbert (1,812) and SF Baumberg (1,753).

SSVg Velbert win49 %

Draw22 %

SF Baumberg win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSVg Velbert have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; SF Baumberg have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SSVg Velbert
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SW Essen(away)	4-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 16, 2026	Wuppertaler SV(home)	1-0	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 12, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)	0-8	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Sportfreunde Siegen(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - West
May 8, 2026	Paderborn II(home)	1-3	Regionalliga - West

SF Baumberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Meerbusch(away)	4-2	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 15, 2026	Sonsbeck(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 18, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(home)	0-7	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Büderich(away)	1-3	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026	Biemenhorst(home)	7-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SSVg Velbert win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 SF Baumberg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 1, 2025	SF Baumberg 0-1 SSVg Velbert	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Dec 6, 2024	SSVg Velbert 4-2 SF Baumberg	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Mar 12, 2023	SF Baumberg 0-0 SSVg Velbert	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 9, 2022	SSVg Velbert 2-0 SF Baumberg	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Apr 16, 2022	SF Baumberg 4-0 SSVg Velbert	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 27, 2021	SSVg Velbert 6-2 SF Baumberg	Oberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: SF Baumberg vs SSVg Velbert on Jun 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SF Baumberg score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SSVg Velbert	1.3	2.1	2	10/15	10/15
SF Baumberg	1.5	2.3	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SSVg Velbert sit 1st in Oberliga - Niederrhein (6 points from 2 matches) and SF Baumberg sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SSVg Velbert	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	SF Baumberg	2	1	1	0	5	3	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SSVg Velbert vs SF Baumberg?: The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for SF Baumberg.
Where and when is SSVg Velbert vs SF Baumberg played?: SSVg Velbert vs SF Baumberg is played on December 4, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at IMS Arena, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.