SSVg Velbert vs SF Baumberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 15Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)IMS Arena, Velbert
The Footlab AI model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for SF Baumberg. The most likely score is 1-1. If SSVg Velbert wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SSVg Velbert vs SF Baumberg?
On Elo ratings, SSVg Velbert has 1,854 points and SF Baumberg 1,777.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SSVg Velbert vs SF Baumberg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SSVg Velbert
Not enough data to predict the SSVg Velbert lineup.
SF Baumberg
Not enough data to predict the SF Baumberg lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSVg Velbert have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; SF Baumberg have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 2, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | BW Dingden(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Meerbusch(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Büderich(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Schonnebeck(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 4-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SSVg Velbert wins, 1 draw, 1 SF Baumberg win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2025 | SF Baumberg 0-1 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Dec 6, 2024 | SSVg Velbert 4-2 SF Baumberg | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 12, 2023 | SF Baumberg 0-0 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 9, 2022 | SSVg Velbert 2-0 SF Baumberg | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Apr 16, 2022 | SF Baumberg 4-0 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 27, 2021 | SSVg Velbert 6-2 SF Baumberg | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SF Baumberg vs SSVg Velbert on Jun 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
SSVg Velbert score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; SF Baumberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSVg Velbert | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| SF Baumberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SSVg Velbert sit 2nd in Oberliga - Niederrhein (18 points from 8 matches) and SF Baumberg sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SSVg Velbert | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 18 |
| 5 | SF Baumberg | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 14 |
A question about SSVg Velbert vs SF Baumberg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SSVg Velbert vs SF Baumberg?
- The Footlab AI model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for SF Baumberg.
- Where and when is SSVg Velbert vs SF Baumberg played?
- SSVg Velbert vs SF Baumberg is played on December 4, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at IMS Arena, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05vsBüderich
- Dec 6, 2026SW EssenvsHolzheimer SG
- Dec 6, 2026SonsbeckvsSC St. Tönis
- Dec 6, 2026MeerbuschvsBW Dingden
- Dec 6, 2026MonheimvsGermania Ratingen
- Dec 6, 2026ScherpenbergvsFortuna Düsseldorf II
- Dec 6, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsWuppertaler SV
- Dec 6, 2026Solingen-WaldvsSchonnebeck