Schonnebeck vs SC St. Tönis: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Schetters Busch, Essen
The Footlab model makes Schonnebeck the favourite at 65%, against 17% for a draw and 19% for SC St. Tönis. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schonnebeck vs SC St. Tönis?
Schonnebeck starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,941 vs 1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schonnebeck have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; SC St. Tönis have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Holzheimer SG(away) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 30, 2026 | Homberg(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-11 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hilden(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Schonnebeck win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 SC St. Tönis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | SC St. Tönis 2-3 Schonnebeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Schonnebeck 0-2 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Schonnebeck 1-3 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 20, 2024 | SC St. Tönis 2-0 Schonnebeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Schonnebeck 5-3 SC St. Tönis | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 16, 2023 | SC St. Tönis 1-2 Schonnebeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SC St. Tönis vs Schonnebeck on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Schonnebeck score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schonnebeck | 3.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| SC St. Tönis | 1.9 | 2.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schonnebeck sit 4th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (4 points from 2 matches) and SC St. Tönis sit 9th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Schonnebeck | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | SC St. Tönis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schonnebeck vs SC St. Tönis?
- The Footlab model makes Schonnebeck the favourite at 65%, against 17% for a draw and 19% for SC St. Tönis.
- Where and when is Schonnebeck vs SC St. Tönis played?
- Schonnebeck vs SC St. Tönis is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schetters Busch, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf IIvsWuppertaler SV
- Sep 19, 2026Wuppertaler SVvsHolzheimer SG
- Sep 19, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05vsSonsbeck
- Sep 20, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsScherpenberg
- Sep 20, 2026MeerbuschvsSSVg Velbert
- Sep 20, 2026MonheimvsSF Baumberg
- Sep 20, 2026Germania RatingenvsFortuna Düsseldorf II
- Sep 20, 2026Solingen-WaldvsSW Essen