Meerbusch vs SW Essen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Lank, Meerbusch
The Footlab model makes Meerbusch the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Meerbusch vs SW Essen?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Meerbusch (1,733) and SW Essen (1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Meerbusch have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; SW Essen have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SF Baumberg(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 7, 2026 | SW Essen(away) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 29, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Büderich(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Scherpenberg(away) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Kleve(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Meerbusch win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 SW Essen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | SW Essen 3-4 Meerbusch | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Meerbusch 1-0 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Apr 17, 2025 | SW Essen 3-2 Meerbusch | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Meerbusch 1-3 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Meerbusch 0-2 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 10, 2023 | SW Essen 3-1 Meerbusch | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
Meerbusch score 1.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meerbusch | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| SW Essen | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Meerbusch sit 15th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 1 matches) and SW Essen sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Meerbusch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | SW Essen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Meerbusch vs SW Essen?
- The Footlab model makes Meerbusch the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 36% for SW Essen.
- Where and when is Meerbusch vs SW Essen played?
- Meerbusch vs SW Essen is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Lank, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 4, 2026Wuppertaler SVvsBW Dingden
- Sep 4, 2026Germania RatingenvsSC St. Tönis
- Sep 6, 2026MonheimvsHolzheimer SG
- Sep 6, 2026SchonnebeckvsBüderich
- Sep 6, 2026SonsbeckvsSSVg Velbert
- Sep 6, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsFortuna Düsseldorf II
- Sep 6, 2026Solingen-WaldvsSF Baumberg
- Sep 9, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsSC St. Tönis