Sonsbeck vs SSVg Velbert: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Willy-Lemkens-Sportpark, Sonsbeck
The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Sonsbeck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sonsbeck vs SSVg Velbert?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Sonsbeck (1,728) and SSVg Velbert (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sonsbeck have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; SSVg Velbert have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Scherpenberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SF Baumberg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Biemenhorst(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | SF Baumberg(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SW Essen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| May 8, 2026 | Paderborn II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Sonsbeck win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 SSVg Velbert win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2024 | SSVg Velbert 4-1 Sonsbeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Sonsbeck 0-4 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Sonsbeck 0-1 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2022 | SSVg Velbert 0-0 Sonsbeck | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SSVg Velbert vs Sonsbeck on Dec 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sonsbeck score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonsbeck | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| SSVg Velbert | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sonsbeck sit 12th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (1 points from 1 matches) and SSVg Velbert sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SSVg Velbert | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Sonsbeck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sonsbeck vs SSVg Velbert?
- The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Sonsbeck.
- Where and when is Sonsbeck vs SSVg Velbert played?
- Sonsbeck vs SSVg Velbert is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Willy-Lemkens-Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 4, 2026Wuppertaler SVvsBW Dingden
- Sep 4, 2026Germania RatingenvsSC St. Tönis
- Sep 6, 2026MonheimvsHolzheimer SG
- Sep 6, 2026SchonnebeckvsBüderich
- Sep 6, 2026MeerbuschvsSW Essen
- Sep 6, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsFortuna Düsseldorf II
- Sep 6, 2026Solingen-WaldvsSF Baumberg
- Sep 9, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsSC St. Tönis