Match

Sonsbeck vs SSVg Velbert: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Willy-Lemkens-Sportpark, Sonsbeck

SonsbeckSSVg Velbert

The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Sonsbeck. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sonsbeck vs SSVg Velbert?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Sonsbeck (1,728) and SSVg Velbert (1,812).

Sonsbeck win36 %
Draw23 %
SSVg Velbert win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sonsbeck have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; SSVg Velbert have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sonsbeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Scherpenberg(home)1-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 15, 2026SF Baumberg(away)1-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jun 3, 2026Biemenhorst(away)2-4Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026SC St. Tönis(home)4-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 17, 2026SF Baumberg(home)2-4Oberliga - Niederrhein
SSVg Velbert
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SW Essen(away)4-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 16, 2026Wuppertaler SV(home)1-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 12, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)0-8Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Sportfreunde Siegen(away)1-3Regionalliga - West
May 8, 2026Paderborn II(home)1-3Regionalliga - West

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Sonsbeck win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 SSVg Velbert win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 13, 2024SSVg Velbert 4-1 SonsbeckOberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 18, 2024Sonsbeck 0-4 SSVg VelbertOberliga - Niederrhein
Feb 12, 2023Sonsbeck 0-1 SSVg VelbertOberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 14, 2022SSVg Velbert 0-0 SonsbeckOberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: SSVg Velbert vs Sonsbeck on Dec 13, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Sonsbeck score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sonsbeck1.71.5410/158/15
SSVg Velbert1.32.1210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sonsbeck sit 12th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (1 points from 1 matches) and SSVg Velbert sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1SSVg Velbert2200516
12Sonsbeck1010111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sonsbeck vs SSVg Velbert?
The Footlab model makes SSVg Velbert the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Sonsbeck.
Where and when is Sonsbeck vs SSVg Velbert played?
Sonsbeck vs SSVg Velbert is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Willy-Lemkens-Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sonsbeck and SSVg Velbert

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