Where and when is SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG played?

SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Uhlenkrugstadion, Essen

SW Essen

Holzheimer SG

The Footlab model makes SW Essen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Holzheimer SG. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate SW Essen (1,736) and Holzheimer SG (1,709).

SW Essen win42 %

Draw23 %

Holzheimer SG win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SW Essen have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Holzheimer SG have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SW Essen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SSVg Velbert(home)	1-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 14, 2026	Scherpenberg(away)	3-5	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 11, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Meerbusch(home)	3-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026	Kleve(away)	3-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein

Holzheimer SG
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Solingen-Wald(away)	1-2	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 15, 2026	KFC Uerdingen 05(home)	1-5	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jun 7, 2026	Schonnebeck(home)	3-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026	BW Dingden(away)	0-0	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 17, 2026	Germania Ratingen(home)	2-2	Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 SW Essen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Holzheimer SG win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 2, 2026	SW Essen 4-1 Holzheimer SG	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Oct 12, 2025	Holzheimer SG 1-1 SW Essen	Oberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG on Apr 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Holzheimer SG score 1.4 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SW Essen	1.5	2.7	1	9/15	11/15
Holzheimer SG	1.4	2.5	3	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SW Essen sit 18th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and Holzheimer SG sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
17	Holzheimer SG	1	0	0	1	1	5	0
18	SW Essen	2	0	0	2	4	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG?: The Footlab model makes SW Essen the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Holzheimer SG.
Where and when is SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG played?: SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.