SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Uhlenkrugstadion, Essen
The Footlab AI model makes SW Essen the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Holzheimer SG. The most likely score is 1-1. If SW Essen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,481 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate SW Essen (1,697) and Holzheimer SG (1,649).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SW Essen
Not enough data to predict the SW Essen lineup.
Holzheimer SG
Not enough data to predict the Holzheimer SG lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 05:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SW Essen have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Holzheimer SG have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Schonnebeck(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 18, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 11, 2026 | BW Dingden(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Büderich(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Schonnebeck(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 SW Essen win, 1 draw, 0 Holzheimer SG wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | SW Essen 4-1 Holzheimer SG | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Holzheimer SG 1-1 SW Essen | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SW Essen score 1.3 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Holzheimer SG score 1.1 and concede 3.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SW Essen | 1.3 | 2.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Holzheimer SG | 1.1 | 3.2 | 1 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SW Essen sit 15th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (6 points from 8 matches) and Holzheimer SG sit 17th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SW Essen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 6 |
| 17 | Holzheimer SG | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 4 |
A question about SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG?
- The Footlab AI model makes SW Essen the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Holzheimer SG.
- Where and when is SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG played?
- SW Essen vs Holzheimer SG is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 4, 2026SSVg VelbertvsSF Baumberg
- Dec 5, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05vsBüderich
- Dec 6, 2026SonsbeckvsSC St. Tönis
- Dec 6, 2026MeerbuschvsBW Dingden
- Dec 6, 2026MonheimvsGermania Ratingen
- Dec 6, 2026ScherpenbergvsFortuna Düsseldorf II
- Dec 6, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsWuppertaler SV
- Dec 6, 2026Solingen-WaldvsSchonnebeck