Match

Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba

MekelakeyaEthiopia Bunna

The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Ethiopia Bunna. The most likely score is 0-0. If Mekelakeya wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,244 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Mekelakeya (1,589) and Ethiopia Bunna (1,527).

40%34%26%
Mekelakeya winDrawEthiopia Bunna win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Ethiopia Bunna

Not enough data to predict the Ethiopia Bunna lineup.

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:50 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mekelakeya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ethiopia Bunna have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Sidama Bunna(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 27, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Gamo Chencha(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Adama Kenema(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 25, 2026Mebrat Hayl(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 21, 2026Negelle Arsi(home)0-3Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Kedus Giorgis(away)2-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Sheger Ketema(home)0-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mekelakeya wins, 2 draws, 4 Ethiopia Bunna wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 MekelakeyaPremier League
Dec 31, 2025Mekelakeya 0-1 Ethiopia BunnaPremier League
Apr 4, 2025Mekelakeya 0-1 Ethiopia BunnaPremier League
Feb 8, 2025Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 MekelakeyaPremier League
Apr 21, 2024Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 MekelakeyaPremier League
Feb 8, 2024Mekelakeya 0-4 Ethiopia BunnaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mekelakeya score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ethiopia Bunna score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mekelakeya0.90.784/154/15
Ethiopia Bunna0.71.155/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mekelakeya sit 2nd in Premier League (10 points from 5 matches) and Ethiopia Bunna sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Mekelakeya53115210
14Ethiopia Bunna5113264

A question about Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna?
The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 40%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Ethiopia Bunna.
Where and when is Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna played?
Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mekelakeya and Ethiopia Bunna

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