Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United: result 1-0 and analysis
Australia CupSemi-finalsKick-off on September 21, 2024 at 09:30 AM (UTC)AAMI Park, Melbourne
Full time
What was the result of Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United?
Melbourne Victory won 1-0 on September 21, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 88′J. ValadonMelbourne Victory
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melbourne Victory have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Adelaide United have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2024 | Moreton City Excelsior(away) | 4-0 | Australia Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Goulburn Valley Suns(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 28, 2024 | NWS Spirit(away) | 4-0 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Altona Magic(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Lambton Jaffas(away) | 4-1 | Australia Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2024 | Western Sydney Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Olympic Kingsway(away) | 3-2 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Adelaide Raiders(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Blacktown City(away) | 3-2 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Cumberland United(home) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Melbourne Victory win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Adelaide United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | Adelaide United 1-2 Melbourne Victory | A-League |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Melbourne Victory 2-0 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Melbourne Victory 1-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Melbourne Victory 1-1 Adelaide United | A-League |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Adelaide United 1-1 Melbourne Victory | A-League |
| Nov 11, 2022 | Adelaide United 3-0 Melbourne Victory | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory on Mar 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Melbourne Victory score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Adelaide United score 2.7 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory | 2.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Adelaide United | 2.7 | 1.8 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy