Melbourne Victory vs Chiangrai United: result 1-0 and analysis
AFC Champions League EliteGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on February 11, 2020 at 08:35 AM (UTC)AAMI Park, Melbourne
Full time
What was the result of Melbourne Victory vs Chiangrai United?
Melbourne Victory won 1-0 on February 11, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 25′O. ToivonenMelbourne Victory (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melbourne Victory have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Chiangrai United have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2020 | Melbourne City(away) | 1-2 | A-League |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Perth Glory(away) | 2-2 | A-League |
| Jan 28, 2020 | Kashima(away) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Jan 24, 2020 | Sydney(home) | 0-3 | A-League |
| Jan 21, 2020 | Bali United(home) | 5-0 | AFC Champions League Elite |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2019 | Suphanburi(away) | 5-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Prachuap(home) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 3, 2019 | PTT Rayong(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Bangkok United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Trat FC(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Melbourne Victory score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chiangrai United score 2.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Chiangrai United | 2.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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