Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix: result 5-1 and analysis
A-LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 29, 2025 at 08:00 AM (UTC)AAMI Park, Melbourne
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What was the result of Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix?
Melbourne Victory won 5-1 on December 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′N. VergosMelbourne Victory
- 29′R. NajjarineWellington Phoenix
- 42′N. VergosMelbourne Victory
- 47′N. VergosMelbourne Victory
- 55′Clarismario RodriguesMelbourne Victory
- 90′K. JelacicMelbourne Victory
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melbourne Victory have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Wellington Phoenix have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Melbourne City(away) | 1-0 | A-League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Adelaide United(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Macarthur(away) | 0-0 | A-League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Brisbane Roar(away) | 0-1 | A-League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Sydney(away) | 0-3 | A-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | Central Coast Mariners(home) | 3-1 | A-League |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Newcastle Jets(home) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Auckland(away) | 1-3 | A-League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Adelaide United(home) | 2-1 | A-League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Macarthur(home) | 0-1 | A-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Melbourne Victory win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Wellington Phoenix win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Wellington Phoenix 2-3 Melbourne Victory | A-League |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Melbourne Victory 1-0 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Wellington Phoenix 1-0 Melbourne Victory | A-League |
| May 18, 2024 | Wellington Phoenix 1-2 Melbourne Victory | A-League |
| May 12, 2024 | Melbourne Victory 0-0 Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Wellington Phoenix 1-0 Melbourne Victory | A-League |
Last archived meeting: Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory on Apr 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Melbourne Victory score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Wellington Phoenix score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Wellington Phoenix | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melbourne Victory sit 4th in A-League (40 points from 26 matches) and Wellington Phoenix sit 8th (33 points from 26 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 48 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy