Melfi vs Fidelis Andria: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H · Matchday 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Arturo Valerio, Melfi
The Footlab AI model makes Fidelis Andria the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Melfi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fidelis Andria wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Melfi vs Fidelis Andria?
Fidelis Andria starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,752 vs 1,609).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Melfi vs Fidelis Andria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Melfi
4-3-3- 7Davide Lodesani
- 18Alessandro De Vena
- 20Gianluca De Angelis
- 29Bruno Leonardo Vicente
- 17A. Esposito
- 24A. Gammone
- 5G. Laezza
- 15M. Russu
- 13L. Libutti
- 9C. Foggia
- 1R. Gragnaniello
Fidelis Andria
Not enough data to predict the Fidelis Andria lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 04:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melfi have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Fidelis Andria have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Manfredonia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 24, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bisceglie(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ebolitana(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Nardò(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Melfi wins, 0 draws, 2 Fidelis Andria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | Melfi 1-2 Fidelis Andria | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Fidelis Andria 1-0 Melfi | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Melfi vs Fidelis Andria on Feb 11, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Melfi score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fidelis Andria score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melfi | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Fidelis Andria | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melfi sit 17th in Serie D - Girone H (8 points from 10 matches) and Fidelis Andria sit 7th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fidelis Andria | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 17 |
| 17 | Melfi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Melfi vs Fidelis Andria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Melfi vs Fidelis Andria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fidelis Andria the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Melfi.
- Where and when is Melfi vs Fidelis Andria played?
- Melfi vs Fidelis Andria is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Arturo Valerio, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.