Melfi vs Fidelis Andria: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Arturo Valerio, Melfi
The Footlab model makes Fidelis Andria the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Melfi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Melfi vs Fidelis Andria?
Fidelis Andria starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,745 vs 1,600).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melfi have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Fidelis Andria have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2017 | Matera(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 30, 2017 | Foggia(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 23, 2017 | Taranto(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 15, 2017 | Messina(away) | 4-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 9, 2017 | Monopoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Pompei(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Manfredonia(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Melfi win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Fidelis Andria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | Melfi 1-2 Fidelis Andria | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Fidelis Andria 1-0 Melfi | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Melfi vs Fidelis Andria on Feb 11, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Melfi score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fidelis Andria score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melfi | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Fidelis Andria | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 28 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Melfi vs Fidelis Andria?
- The Footlab model makes Fidelis Andria the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Melfi.
- Where and when is Melfi vs Fidelis Andria played?
- Melfi vs Fidelis Andria is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Arturo Valerio, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.