Melfi vs Virtus Francavilla: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie C - Girone ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 30, 2016 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Arturo Valerio, Melfi
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What was the result of Melfi vs Virtus Francavilla?
Virtus Francavilla won 0-1 on October 30, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 75′209535Virtus Francavilla
Official lineup for Melfi vs Virtus Francavilla
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Melfi
- 11L. Pompilio
- 18Alessandro De Vena
- 25Edoardo Defendi
- 17A. Esposito
- 24A. Gammone
- 2F. Bruno
- 4A. Grea
- 28F. Obeng
- 5G. Laezza
- 13L. Libutti
- 1R. Gragnaniello
Virtus Francavilla
- 11Gianluca De Angelis
- 20V. Triarico Tateo
- 8C. Biason
- 19M. Prezioso
- 10M. Gâldean
- 4A. Pastore
- 5R. Idda
- 14Vasco Manuel Vilhena Faisca Teixeira
- 16A. Albertini
- 21G. Abruzzese
- 28A. Casadei
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Melfi have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Virtus Francavilla have 3, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2016 | Catanzaro(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Catania(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Paganese(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Siracusa(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2016 | Vibonese(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Lecce(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Casertana(home) | 4-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 5, 2016 | Paganese(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Cosenza(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Melfi score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 10; Virtus Francavilla score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melfi | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 5/10 | 7/10 |
| Virtus Francavilla | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 6/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy