Melfi vs Virtus Francavilla: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie C - Girone ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 30, 2016 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Arturo Valerio, Melfi
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What was the result of Melfi vs Virtus Francavilla?
Virtus Francavilla won 0-1 on October 30, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 75′209535Virtus Francavilla
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Melfi have 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Virtus Francavilla have 3, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2016 | Catanzaro(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Catania(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Paganese(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Siracusa(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2016 | Vibonese(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Lecce(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Casertana(home) | 4-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 5, 2016 | Paganese(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Cosenza(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Melfi score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 10; Virtus Francavilla score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melfi | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 5/10 | 7/10 |
| Virtus Francavilla | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 6/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy