Mendrisio vs Kosova: prediction and stats
Erste Liga CupSemi-finalsKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Campo comunale Mendrisio, Mendrisio
The Footlab AI model makes Mendrisio the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Kosova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mendrisio wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mendrisio vs Kosova?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Mendrisio (1,505) and Kosova (1,510).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mendrisio vs Kosova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mendrisio
Not enough data to predict the Mendrisio lineup.
Kosova
Not enough data to predict the Kosova lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 02:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mendrisio have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Kosova have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dietikon(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tuggen(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Wettswil-Bonstetten(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | St. Gallen II(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Eschen / Mauren(away) | 3-4 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Locarno(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Dietikon(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tuggen(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wettswil-Bonstetten(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | St. Gallen II(away) | 1-5 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mendrisio wins, 1 draw, 3 Kosova wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kosova 0-0 Mendrisio | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Mendrisio 4-3 Kosova | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Kosova 1-0 Mendrisio | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Mendrisio 1-0 Kosova | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Kosova 1-0 Mendrisio | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| May 4, 2024 | Kosova 2-1 Mendrisio | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mendrisio score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kosova score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mendrisio | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Kosova | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Mendrisio vs Kosova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mendrisio vs Kosova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mendrisio the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Kosova.
- Where and when is Mendrisio vs Kosova played?
- Mendrisio vs Kosova is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Campo comunale Mendrisio, in the Erste Liga Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.