Match

Merani Martvili vs Samtredia: prediction and stats

Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 36Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, Martvili

Merani MartviliSamtredia

The Footlab AI model makes Samtredia the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Merani Martvili. The most likely score is 1-1. If Samtredia wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,614 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Merani Martvili vs Samtredia?

Samtredia starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,530 vs 1,430).

28%26%46%
Merani Martvili winDrawSamtredia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Merani Martvili vs Samtredia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Merani Martvili

4-3-3
  1. 24S. Kukhianidze
  2. 7J. Esonkulov
  3. 9A. Jolokhava
  1. 10L. Tsotsonava
  2. 14D. Khelaia
  3. 6R. Chkhaidze
  1. 25D. Mala
  2. 4N. Kharabadze
  3. 23G. Gvasalia
  4. 5N. Tchumburidze
  1. 1K. Khamkhoev

Samtredia

4-3-3
  1. 10J. Cordero
  2. 11T. Odikadze
  3. 20O. Gagnidze
  1. 7G. Manjgaladze
  2. 8E. Barrios
  3. 37D. Gvasalia
  1. 16D. Dobranskyi
  2. 33G. Latsabidze
  3. 15G. Kveladze
  4. 4L. Kaladze
  1. 12V. Lazarevs

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 11:42 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merani Martvili have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Samtredia have 11, 0 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Merani Martvili
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Telavi(home)2-0Erovnuli Liga 2
Oct 24, 2026Odishi 1919(away)0-3Erovnuli Liga 2
Oct 17, 2026Shturmi(home)3-1Erovnuli Liga 2
Oct 10, 2026Gori(away)1-2Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 20, 2026Samtredia(away)0-5Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Shturmi(home)4-1Erovnuli Liga 2
Oct 24, 2026Gori(away)0-1Erovnuli Liga 2
Oct 17, 2026Aragvi Dusheti(home)0-1Erovnuli Liga 2
Oct 10, 2026Sioni(home)3-0Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 26, 2026Rustavi(home)1-2David Kipiani Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Merani Martvili wins, 1 draw, 2 Samtredia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Samtredia 5-0 Merani MartviliErovnuli Liga 2
Jun 17, 2026Merani Martvili 2-1 SamtrediaErovnuli Liga 2
Apr 26, 2026Samtredia 1-4 Merani MartviliErovnuli Liga 2
Dec 6, 2025Samtredia 1-2 Merani MartviliErovnuli Liga 2
Oct 5, 2025Merani Martvili 1-1 SamtrediaErovnuli Liga 2
Aug 11, 2025Samtredia 4-1 Merani MartviliErovnuli Liga 2

Last archived meeting: Samtredia vs Merani Martvili on Sep 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Merani Martvili score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Samtredia score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Merani Martvili1.11.728/1510/15
Samtredia2.30.775/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Merani Martvili sit 4th in Erovnuli Liga 2 (43 points from 31 matches) and Samtredia sit 5th (43 points from 31 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Merani Martvili3112712364043
5Samtredia3113414554343

A question about Merani Martvili vs Samtredia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Merani Martvili vs Samtredia?
The Footlab AI model makes Samtredia the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Merani Martvili.
Where and when is Merani Martvili vs Samtredia played?
Merani Martvili vs Samtredia is played on December 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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