Match

Gareji vs Shturmi: prediction and stats

Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 36Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)

GarejiShturmi

The Footlab AI model makes Shturmi the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Gareji. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shturmi wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gareji vs Shturmi?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Gareji (1,530) and Shturmi (1,501).

32%26%42%
Gareji winDrawShturmi win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gareji vs Shturmi

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gareji

4-3-3
  1. 17L. Kalandadze
  2. 29B. Gugberidze
  3. 14I. Tchikaidze
  1. 4L. Tolordava
  2. 10T. Babunadze
  3. 11D. Aidarashvili
  1. 26Z. Eradze
  2. 24G. Samadashvili
  3. 15T. Kapanadze
  4. 5G. Nikolaishvili
  1. 12G. Bediashvili

Shturmi

4-3-3
  1. 11L. Papava
  2. 10G. Omarashvili
  3. 9L. Butskhrikidze
  1. 17G. Vekua
  2. 23N. Talakhadze
  3. 24L. Kemoklidze
  1. 15V. Khositashvili
  2. 28Z. Sekhniashvili
  3. 40L. Nozadze
  4. 30T. Shekiladze
  1. 1L. Gurgenidze

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:50 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gareji have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Shturmi have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gareji
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Telavi(home)2-1Erovnuli Liga 2
Oct 10, 2026Odishi 1919(away)0-1Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 20, 2026Shturmi(away)0-1Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 16, 2026Gori(home)2-1Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 12, 2026Samtredia(away)1-6Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Merani Martvili(away)1-3Erovnuli Liga 2
Oct 10, 2026Kolkheti Poti(home)2-0Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 20, 2026Gareji(home)1-0Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 16, 2026Telavi(away)1-1Erovnuli Liga 2
Sep 12, 2026Odishi 1919(home)2-0Erovnuli Liga 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gareji wins, 2 draws, 1 Shturmi win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Shturmi 1-0 GarejiErovnuli Liga 2
Jun 17, 2026Gareji 0-0 ShturmiErovnuli Liga 2
Apr 26, 2026Shturmi 1-2 GarejiErovnuli Liga 2
Nov 9, 2024Gareji 5-1 ShturmiErovnuli Liga 2
Sep 1, 2024Shturmi 1-1 GarejiErovnuli Liga 2
May 24, 2024Gareji 4-1 ShturmiErovnuli Liga 2

Last archived meeting: Shturmi vs Gareji on Sep 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gareji score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Shturmi score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gareji1.31.739/159/15
Shturmi1.21.176/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gareji sit 1st in Erovnuli Liga 2 (53 points from 29 matches) and Shturmi sit 3rd (46 points from 29 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Gareji291586373053
3Shturmi2912107322646

A question about Gareji vs Shturmi?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gareji vs Shturmi?
The Footlab AI model makes Shturmi the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Gareji.
Where and when is Gareji vs Shturmi played?
Gareji vs Shturmi is played on December 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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