Merani Tbilisi vs WIT Georgia: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 29Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sport-kompleksi Shatili, Tbilisi
The Footlab model makes WIT Georgia the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Merani Tbilisi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merani Tbilisi vs WIT Georgia?
WIT Georgia starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,390 vs 1,267).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merani Tbilisi have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; WIT Georgia have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Betlemi(away) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Guria(home) | 0-5 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Didube 2014(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Guria(away) | 1-6 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Irao(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kolkheti Khobi(away) | 2-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Margveti 2006(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Gardabani(away) | 5-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Samgurali(home) | 2-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Dmanisi(away) | 3-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Merani Tbilisi win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 WIT Georgia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | WIT Georgia 0-1 Merani Tbilisi | Liga 3 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | WIT Georgia 1-1 Merani Tbilisi | Liga 3 |
| May 22, 2025 | Merani Tbilisi 1-4 WIT Georgia | Liga 3 |
| Oct 6, 2023 | WIT Georgia 1-1 Merani Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Merani Tbilisi 2-3 WIT Georgia | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 5, 2023 | WIT Georgia 5-1 Merani Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Last archived meeting: WIT Georgia vs Merani Tbilisi on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Merani Tbilisi score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; WIT Georgia score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merani Tbilisi | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| WIT Georgia | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merani Tbilisi sit 7th in Liga 3 (29 points from 18 matches) and WIT Georgia sit 8th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Merani Tbilisi | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 29 |
| 8 | WIT Georgia | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 18 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merani Tbilisi vs WIT Georgia?
- The Footlab model makes WIT Georgia the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Merani Tbilisi.
- Where and when is Merani Tbilisi vs WIT Georgia played?
- Merani Tbilisi vs WIT Georgia is played on November 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sport-kompleksi Shatili, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.