Iveria Khashuri vs Guria: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 29Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Guria the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Iveria Khashuri. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iveria Khashuri vs Guria?
Guria starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (1,375 vs 1,223).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iveria Khashuri have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Guria have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi II(home) | 2-5 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Gonio(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Saburtalo II(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(home) | 1-3 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Betlemi(home) | 5-4 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Saburtalo II(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Merani Tbilisi(away) | 5-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Aragvi Dusheti(home) | 1-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 1-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Iveria Khashuri win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Guria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2026 | Guria 5-2 Iveria Khashuri | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Guria vs Iveria Khashuri on Jun 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Iveria Khashuri score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guria score 2.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iveria Khashuri | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Guria | 2.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iveria Khashuri sit 14th in Liga 3 (10 points from 18 matches) and Guria sit 2nd (39 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guria | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 11 | 39 |
| 14 | Iveria Khashuri | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iveria Khashuri vs Guria?
- The Footlab model makes Guria the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Iveria Khashuri.
- Where and when is Iveria Khashuri vs Guria played?
- Iveria Khashuri vs Guria is played on November 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.