Mérida AD vs Ourense CF: result 3-2 and analysis
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 15Kick-off on December 7, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Romano, Mérida
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What was the result of Mérida AD vs Ourense CF?
Mérida AD won 3-2 on December 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 20′L. ParejaMérida AD
- 24′A. GuerreroOurense CF
- 71′E. VergesMérida AD
- 85′A. CsentericsOurense CF (o.g.)
- 90′A. GarciaMérida AD (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mérida AD have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ourense CF have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Real Avilés(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Pontevedra(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Real Madrid II(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Guadalajara(away) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | Girona(home) | 2-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 4-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Arenteiro(away) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Guadalajara(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Zamora(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mérida AD score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ourense CF score 1.8 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mérida AD | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Ourense CF | 1.8 | 1.0 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mérida AD sit 10th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (52 points from 38 matches) and Ourense CF sit 17th (43 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mérida AD | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47 | 53 | 52 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44 | 47 | 43 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy