Match

Racing Ferrol vs Mérida AD: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de A Malata, Ferrol

Racing FerrolMérida AD

The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Mérida AD. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Mérida AD?

On Elo ratings, Racing Ferrol has 1,887 points and Mérida AD 1,885.

60%24%16%
Racing Ferrol winDrawMérida AD win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Racing Ferrol vs Mérida AD

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Racing Ferrol

4-3-3
  1. 10Dani Ojeda
  2. 19Roberto Arroyo
  3. 11Endika Bujan
  1. 6Fabio González
  2. 14Jesús Bernal
  3. 16Raúl Blanco
  1. 2Migue Leal
  2. 17Álvaro Ramón
  3. 4Germán Novoa
  4. 5Eric Monjonell
  1. 1Lucas Díaz

Mérida AD

4-3-3
  1. 21Raúl Beneit
  2. 19D. Sandoval
  3. 11S. El Ftouhi
  1. 6Jota
  2. 23Geovanny Almeida
  3. 8Martín Solar
  1. 2Alejandro Agustín
  2. 4Gonzalez Nacho
  3. 16Fito
  4. 5Hugo Sanz
  1. 1A. Csenterics

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:48 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Ferrol have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Mérida AD have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Racing Ferrol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Pontevedra(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Lugo(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Barakaldo(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Real Unión(home)3-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Mérida AD
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Pontevedra(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Cacereño(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-5Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Ponferradina(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026Mirandes(home)3-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Racing Ferrol wins, 2 draws, 2 Mérida AD wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Mérida AD 2-1 Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 29, 2025Racing Ferrol 2-2 Mérida ADPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 9, 2023Mérida AD 2-1 Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 27, 2022Racing Ferrol 1-1 Mérida ADPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Mérida AD vs Racing Ferrol on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Racing Ferrol score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mérida AD score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Racing Ferrol1.10.967/154/15
Mérida AD1.11.926/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Racing Ferrol sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 7 matches) and Mérida AD sit 12th (9 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Racing Ferrol74128513
12Mérida AD730411129

A question about Racing Ferrol vs Mérida AD?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Racing Ferrol vs Mérida AD?
The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Mérida AD.
Where and when is Racing Ferrol vs Mérida AD played?
Racing Ferrol vs Mérida AD is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de A Malata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Racing Ferrol and Mérida AD

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