Merthyr Town vs AFC Telford United: result 1-4 and analysis
National League - NorthNorth - 29Kick-off on January 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
Full time
What was the result of Merthyr Town vs AFC Telford United?
AFC Telford United won 1-4 on January 27, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 19′D. Hadley-AllenAFC Telford United
- 45′Ammar DyerAFC Telford United
- 55′R. WalkerAFC Telford United
- 73′C. JarvisMerthyr Town
- 77′D. Hadley-AllenAFC Telford United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merthyr Town have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; AFC Telford United have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Southport(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 5-3 | National League - North |
| Jan 3, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Hereford(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Jan 20, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 8-0 | National League - North |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Chester(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Merthyr Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 AFC Telford United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | AFC Telford United 2-4 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: AFC Telford United vs Merthyr Town on Nov 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Merthyr Town score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Telford United score 2.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 2.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| AFC Telford United | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merthyr Town sit 12th in National League - North (5 points from 4 matches) and AFC Telford United sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Merthyr Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 22 | AFC Telford United | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 27, 2026Worksop Town1-1Darlington 1883
- Jan 27, 2026Bedford Town0-0Kidderminster Harriers
- Jan 27, 2026Marine2-1Chester
- Jan 27, 2026Peterborough Sports4-3Macclesfield
- Jan 27, 2026Radcliffe1-4Scarborough Athletic
- Feb 17, 2026Southport0-0Buxton
- Mar 3, 2026South Shields2-1AFC Fylde
- Mar 17, 2026Spennymoor Town4-1Curzon Ashton