Merthyr Town vs Poole Town: result 1-0 and analysis
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on October 31, 2015 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
Full time
What was the result of Merthyr Town vs Poole Town?
Merthyr Town won 1-0 on October 31, 2015.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merthyr Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Poole Town have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2015 | Hartley Wintney(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Dec 2, 2014 | Didcot Town(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 29, 2014 | Didcot Town(home) | 3-3 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 18, 2014 | Slough Town(home) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2015 | Whitehawk(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2015 | Hastings United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2015 | Hayes & Yeading United(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Barnstaple Town(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Dec 13, 2014 | Maidenhead(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Merthyr Town score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Poole Town score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Poole Town | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 30, 2015Thamesmead Town1-0Ramsgate
- Oct 30, 2015St Ives Town0-1Kettering Town
- Oct 31, 2015Hitchin Town3-2Burgess Hill Town
- Oct 31, 2015Leatherhead1-5Kingstonian
- Oct 31, 2015SL Aquaforce4-3Farsley Celtic FC
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