Messina vs Castrovillari: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone IRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2019 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Franco Scoglio, Messina
Full time
What was the result of Messina vs Castrovillari?
Messina won 3-1 on September 22, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Messina have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Castrovillari have 1, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2019 | San Tommaso(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Acireale(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Troina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| May 7, 2017 | Vibonese(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 30, 2017 | Cosenza(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2019 | Acireale(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Savoia(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Giugliano(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Messina score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Castrovillari score 2.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Messina | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Castrovillari | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1 | 1/3 | 2/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28 | 33 | 32 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy