Metalac GM vs Napredak: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Metalac, Gornji Milanovac
The Footlab model makes Metalac GM the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Napredak. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalac GM vs Napredak?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Metalac GM (1,597) and Napredak (1,516).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalac GM have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Napredak have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV(home) | 2-4 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jedinstvo Ub(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Teleoptik(away) | 1-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Metalac GM(home) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | OFK Bor 1919(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Grafičar(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Metalac GM win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Napredak win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Napredak 2-1 Metalac GM | Prva Liga |
| Apr 11, 2022 | Napredak 1-0 Metalac GM | Super Liga |
| Nov 2, 2021 | Metalac GM 2-3 Napredak | Super Liga |
| Mar 19, 2021 | Metalac GM 2-2 Napredak | Super Liga |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Napredak 1-2 Metalac GM | Super Liga |
| Nov 30, 2016 | Napredak 1-0 Metalac GM | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Napredak vs Metalac GM on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Metalac GM score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Napredak score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalac GM | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Napredak | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalac GM sit 14th in Prva Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and Napredak sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Napredak | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 14 | Metalac GM | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalac GM vs Napredak?
- The Footlab model makes Metalac GM the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Napredak.
- Where and when is Metalac GM vs Napredak played?
- Metalac GM vs Napredak is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Metalac, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.