Metalac GM vs Napredak: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Metalac, Gornji Milanovac
The Footlab AI model makes Metalac GM the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Napredak. The most likely score is 1-1. If Metalac GM wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,859 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalac GM vs Napredak?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Metalac GM (1,580) and Napredak (1,504).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Metalac GM vs Napredak
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Metalac GM
Not enough data to predict the Metalac GM lineup.
Napredak
4-3-3- 95M. Zuvić
- 77N. Srećković
- 20N. Marinković
- 23A. Milić
- 4F. Krstić
- 27N. Bukumira
- 44L. Miladinović
- 11S. Milošević
- 2N. Janković
- 22A. Andrejević
- 1L. BaleviÄ
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalac GM have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Napredak have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola(away) | 1-5 | Prva Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Teleoptik(home) | 0-3 | Prva Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | OFK Vršac(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 28, 2026 | OFK Bor 1919(away) | 2-0 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Grafičar(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dubočica(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Naftagas(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Loznica(home) | 3-0 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 29, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 1-4 | Prva Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Metalac GM win, 1 draw, 4 Napredak wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Napredak 2-1 Metalac GM | Prva Liga |
| Apr 11, 2022 | Napredak 1-0 Metalac GM | Super Liga |
| Nov 2, 2021 | Metalac GM 2-3 Napredak | Super Liga |
| Mar 19, 2021 | Metalac GM 2-2 Napredak | Super Liga |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Napredak 1-2 Metalac GM | Super Liga |
| Nov 30, 2016 | Napredak 1-0 Metalac GM | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Napredak vs Metalac GM on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Metalac GM score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Napredak score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalac GM | 1.3 | 1.3 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Napredak | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalac GM sit 10th in Prva Liga (18 points from 14 matches) and Napredak sit 6th (21 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Napredak | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 21 |
| 10 | Metalac GM | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | 18 |
A question about Metalac GM vs Napredak?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalac GM vs Napredak?
- The Footlab AI model makes Metalac GM the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Napredak.
- Where and when is Metalac GM vs Napredak played?
- Metalac GM vs Napredak is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Metalac, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.