Metalourg vs Gazalkent: prediction and stats
Pro League ARegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Metallurg Markaziy Stadion, Bekabad
The Footlab model makes Metalourg the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Gazalkent. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalourg vs Gazalkent?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Metalourg (1,657) and Gazalkent (1,613).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalourg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gazalkent have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Qiziriq(away) | 3-0 | Pro League A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Respublika FA(away) | 3-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Yaypan(home) | 1-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Aral(away) | 0-1 | Pro League A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lochin(home) | 5-0 | Pro League A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kattaqurgon(away) | 4-2 | Pro League A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Olimpik-Mobiuz(home) | 0-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BuxDu(away) | 3-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Respublika FA(away) | 7-0 | Pro League A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Aral(home) | 0-2 | Pro League A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Metalourg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gazalkent win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Gazalkent 3-2 Metalourg | Pro League A |
Last archived meeting: Gazalkent vs Metalourg on Jul 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Metalourg score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gazalkent score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalourg | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Gazalkent | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalourg sit 5th in Pro League A (28 points from 16 matches) and Gazalkent sit 8th (27 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Metalourg | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Metalourg | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 14 | 28 |
| 6 | Gazalkent | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Gazalkent | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 20 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalourg vs Gazalkent?
- The Footlab model makes Metalourg the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Gazalkent.
- Where and when is Metalourg vs Gazalkent played?
- Metalourg vs Gazalkent is played on October 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Metallurg Markaziy Stadion, in the Pro League A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.