Shortan vs Aral: prediction and stats
Pro League ARegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion G'uzor, G'uzor
The Footlab AI model makes Aral the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Shortan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aral wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shortan vs Aral?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Shortan (1,630) and Aral (1,728).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shortan vs Aral
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shortan
Not enough data to predict the Shortan lineup.
Aral
Not enough data to predict the Aral lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shortan have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Aral have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Metalourg(away) | 1-1 | Pro League A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Jayxun(home) | 3-1 | Pro League A |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Pakhtakor II(away) | 4-0 | Pro League A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Qiziriq(home) | 3-0 | Pro League A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Yaypan(away) | 4-1 | Pro League A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Pakhtakor II(away) | 2-1 | Pro League A |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Yaypan(away) | 5-2 | Pro League A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lochin(home) | 2-0 | Pro League A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FarDu(away) | 1-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Kattaqurgon(home) | 1-0 | Pro League A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shortan wins, 1 draw, 3 Aral wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Aral 3-1 Shortan | Pro League A |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Shortan 4-1 Aral | Cup |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Aral 2-1 Shortan | Pro League A |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Shortan 4-0 Aral | Pro League A |
| Jun 13, 2024 | Aral 2-0 Shortan | Pro League A |
| Apr 8, 2024 | Shortan 1-1 Aral | Pro League A |
How many goals should we expect?
Shortan score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aral score 2.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shortan | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Aral | 2.2 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shortan sit 2nd in Pro League A (46 points from 22 matches) and Aral sit 1st (52 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aral | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 13 | 52 |
| 2 | Shortan | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 46 |
A question about Shortan vs Aral?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shortan vs Aral?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aral the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Shortan.
- Where and when is Shortan vs Aral played?
- Shortan vs Aral is played on October 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion G'uzor, in the Pro League A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.