Lochin vs FarDu: prediction and stats
Pro League ARegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Lochin the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for FarDu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lochin vs FarDu?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Lochin (1,594) and FarDu (1,590).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lochin have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; FarDu have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Jayxun(home) | 1-0 | Pro League A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pakhtakor II(away) | 1-2 | Pro League A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Qiziriq(home) | 2-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Yaypan(home) | 0-0 | Pro League A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Metalourg(away) | 0-5 | Pro League A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shortan(home) | 3-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jayxun(away) | 0-0 | Pro League A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pakhtakor II(home) | 5-1 | Pro League A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Qiziriq(home) | 5-1 | Pro League A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Yaypan(away) | 1-0 | Pro League A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lochin win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FarDu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | FarDu 2-1 Lochin | Pro League A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lochin score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FarDu score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lochin | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| FarDu | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lochin sit 7th in Pro League A (28 points from 16 matches) and FarDu sit 4th (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lochin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | FarDu | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 29 |
| 7 | Lochin | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 28 |
| 7 | FarDu | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lochin vs FarDu?
- The Footlab model makes Lochin the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for FarDu.
- Where and when is Lochin vs FarDu played?
- Lochin vs FarDu is played on October 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Pro League A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.