Where and when is Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures played?

Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Teren Sintetic Cornel Negoescu, in the Liga II.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures: prediction and stats

Liga IIRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Teren Sintetic Cornel Negoescu, Buzău

Metalul Buzău

ASA Targu Mures

The Footlab model makes Metalul Buzău the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for ASA Targu Mures. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures?

Metalul Buzău starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,528).

Metalul Buzău win51 %

Draw26 %

ASA Targu Mures win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalul Buzău have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; ASA Targu Mures have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Metalul Buzău
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Slatina(away)	0-2	Liga II
Aug 19, 2026	Gloria Bistriţa(away)	0-0	Cupa României
Aug 15, 2026	CS Dinamo București(away)	1-0	Liga II
Aug 12, 2026	Baicoi(away)	4-2	Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026	CS Afumati(home)	3-1	Liga II

ASA Targu Mures
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gloria Bistriţa(home)	1-0	Liga II
Aug 19, 2026	FC Politehnica Timisoara(away)	1-2	Cupa României
Aug 15, 2026	Bihor Oradea(away)	1-1	Liga II
Aug 12, 2026	Gheorgheni(away)	2-0	Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026	Cetatea Suceava(home)	0-2	Liga II

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Metalul Buzău win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 ASA Targu Mures win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	ASA Targu Mures 1-4 Metalul Buzău	Liga II
Feb 28, 2026	ASA Targu Mures 1-0 Metalul Buzău	Liga II

Last archived meeting: ASA Targu Mures vs Metalul Buzău on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Metalul Buzău score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; ASA Targu Mures score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Metalul Buzău	1.9	1.1	7	7/15	8/15
ASA Targu Mures	1.3	1.3	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Metalul Buzău sit 8th in Liga II (7 points from 4 matches) and ASA Targu Mures sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Metalul Buzău	4	2	1	1	4	3	7
14	ASA Targu Mures	4	1	1	2	3	5	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures?: The Footlab model makes Metalul Buzău the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for ASA Targu Mures.
Where and when is Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures played?: Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Teren Sintetic Cornel Negoescu, in the Liga II.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.