Match

Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa: prediction and stats

Liga IIRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)

Cetatea SuceavaDumbrăviţa

The Footlab model makes Cetatea Suceava the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Dumbrăviţa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Cetatea Suceava (1,593) and Dumbrăviţa (1,519).

Cetatea Suceava win54 %
Draw25 %
Dumbrăviţa win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cetatea Suceava have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Dumbrăviţa have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cetatea Suceava
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ştefăneşti(away)1-3Liga II
Aug 15, 2026CSM Satu Mare(home)2-0Liga II
Aug 12, 2026USV Iaşi(away)0-1Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026ASA Targu Mures(away)2-0Liga II
Aug 1, 2026Concordia(home)1-3Liga II
Dumbrăviţa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026CSA Steaua Bucureşti(away)2-2Liga II
Aug 15, 2026Popești-Leordeni(home)1-1Liga II
Aug 12, 2026FC Politehnica Timisoara(away)0-1Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026Ştefăneşti(away)0-1Liga II
Aug 5, 2026CSM Satu Mare(home)1-1Liga II

How many goals should we expect?

Cetatea Suceava score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dumbrăviţa score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cetatea Suceava2.31.068/159/15
Dumbrăviţa0.71.345/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cetatea Suceava sit 10th in Liga II (6 points from 4 matches) and Dumbrăviţa sit 18th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Cetatea Suceava4202666
18Dumbrăviţa3021232

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa?
The Footlab model makes Cetatea Suceava the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Dumbrăviţa.
Where and when is Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa played?
Cetatea Suceava vs Dumbrăviţa is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga II.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cetatea Suceava and Dumbrăviţa

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