Metalurgistul Cugir vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 13Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Arena Cugir, Cugir
The Footlab model makes Metalurgistul Cugir the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalurgistul Cugir vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Metalurgistul Cugir (1,452) and Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii (1,486).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalurgistul Cugir have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hidro Mecanica Sugag(away) | 10-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Minaur Baia Mare(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Unirea Tășnad(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Caransebes(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Timişul Şag(away) | 3-4 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 8, 2026 | Universitatea Alba Iulia(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 1, 2026 | CIL Blaj(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Progresul Pecica(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Metalurgistul Cugir win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir 0-0 Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 1-0 Metalurgistul Cugir | Liga III - Serie 7 |
Last archived meeting: Metalurgistul Cugir vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Metalurgistul Cugir score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalurgistul Cugir | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalurgistul Cugir sit 4th in Liga III - Serie 7 (40 points from 22 matches) and Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii sit 2nd (44 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Metalurgistul Cugir | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalurgistul Cugir vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii?
- The Footlab model makes Metalurgistul Cugir the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii.
- Where and when is Metalurgistul Cugir vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii played?
- Metalurgistul Cugir vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Cugir, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.