Cetate Deva vs Timişul Şag: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 13Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Cetate I, Deva
The Footlab model makes Cetate Deva the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Timişul Şag. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cetate Deva vs Timişul Şag?
Cetate Deva starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,542 vs 1,434).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cetate Deva have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Timişul Şag have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2024 | Unirea Alba Iulia(away) | 0-15 | Cupa României |
| May 18, 2024 | Filiaşi(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 10, 2024 | Viitorul Şimian(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 7, 2024 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 3, 2024 | Filiaşi(home) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(home) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Unirea Sântana(home) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Pecica(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(home) | 4-3 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 9, 2026 | Unirea Sântana(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cetate Deva score 1.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Timişul Şag score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cetate Deva | 1.7 | 2.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Timişul Şag | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timişul Şag | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cetate Deva vs Timişul Şag?
- The Footlab model makes Cetate Deva the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Timişul Şag.
- Where and when is Cetate Deva vs Timişul Şag played?
- Cetate Deva vs Timişul Şag is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Cetate I, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.