Match

Metalurgistul Cugir vs Progresul Pecica: prediction and stats

Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 20Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Arena Cugir, Cugir

Metalurgistul CugirProgresul Pecica

The Footlab AI model makes Metalurgistul Cugir the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Progresul Pecica. The most likely score is 1-1. If Metalurgistul Cugir wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Metalurgistul Cugir vs Progresul Pecica?

On Elo ratings, Metalurgistul Cugir has 1,530 points and Progresul Pecica 1,523.

52%23%25%
Metalurgistul Cugir winDrawProgresul Pecica win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Metalurgistul Cugir vs Progresul Pecica

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Metalurgistul Cugir

Not enough data to predict the Metalurgistul Cugir lineup.

Progresul Pecica

4-3-3
  1. SS. Borcea
  2. DD. Răchită
  3. AA. Capătă
  1. 11L. Bodri
  2. NN. Abdullahi
  3. MM. Arsene
  1. RR. Moraru
  2. TT. Bodri
  3. EEw. Wild
  4. SS. Aldan
  1. RR. Zamfir

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:59 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalurgistul Cugir have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Progresul Pecica have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Metalurgistul Cugir
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Progresul Pecica(away)2-1Liga III - Serie 7
Oct 9, 2026Cetate Deva(home)0-2Liga III - Serie 7
Oct 2, 2026Poli Timisoara 2(away)1-1Liga III - Serie 7
Sep 26, 2026Viitorul Arad(home)1-3Liga III - Serie 7
Sep 23, 2026Nera Bogodinţi(away)3-0Liga III - Serie 7
Progresul Pecica
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Metalurgistul Cugir(home)1-2Liga III - Serie 7
Oct 9, 2026Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away)0-5Liga III - Serie 7
Oct 3, 2026CIL Blaj(home)2-1Liga III - Serie 7
Sep 26, 2026Unirea Sântana(away)1-4Liga III - Serie 7
Sep 22, 2026Universitatea Alba Iulia(home)6-0Liga III - Serie 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Metalurgistul Cugir wins, 1 draw, 0 Progresul Pecica wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Progresul Pecica 1-2 Metalurgistul CugirLiga III - Serie 7
Mar 28, 2026Progresul Pecica 3-3 Metalurgistul CugirLiga III - Serie 7
Oct 31, 2025Metalurgistul Cugir 2-1 Progresul PecicaLiga III - Serie 7

Last archived meeting: Progresul Pecica vs Metalurgistul Cugir on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Metalurgistul Cugir score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Pecica score 1.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Metalurgistul Cugir1.91.728/159/15
Progresul Pecica1.62.238/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Metalurgistul Cugir sit 9th in Liga III - Serie 7 (6 points from 7 matches) and Progresul Pecica sit 6th (10 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Progresul Pecica7313151310
9Metalurgistul Cugir713310126

A question about Metalurgistul Cugir vs Progresul Pecica?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Metalurgistul Cugir vs Progresul Pecica?
The Footlab AI model makes Metalurgistul Cugir the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Progresul Pecica.
Where and when is Metalurgistul Cugir vs Progresul Pecica played?
Metalurgistul Cugir vs Progresul Pecica is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Cugir, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Metalurgistul Cugir and Progresul Pecica

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