Cetate Deva vs Universitatea Alba Iulia: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Cetate I, Deva
The Footlab model makes Cetate Deva the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Universitatea Alba Iulia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cetate Deva vs Universitatea Alba Iulia?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Cetate Deva (1,542) and Universitatea Alba Iulia (1,464).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cetate Deva have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Universitatea Alba Iulia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2024 | Unirea Alba Iulia(away) | 0-15 | Cupa României |
| May 18, 2024 | Filiaşi(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 10, 2024 | Viitorul Şimian(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 7, 2024 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 3, 2024 | Filiaşi(home) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | CIL Blaj(home) | 3-4 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Pecica(home) | 6-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 8, 2026 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 1, 2026 | Unirea Sântana(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Unirea DMO(away) | 5-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Cetate Deva win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Universitatea Alba Iulia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2023 | Universitatea Alba Iulia 0-0 Cetate Deva | Cupa României |
Last archived meeting: Universitatea Alba Iulia vs Cetate Deva on Aug 16, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Cetate Deva score 1.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Universitatea Alba Iulia score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cetate Deva | 1.7 | 2.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Universitatea Alba Iulia | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Universitatea Alba Iulia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cetate Deva vs Universitatea Alba Iulia?
- The Footlab model makes Cetate Deva the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Universitatea Alba Iulia.
- Where and when is Cetate Deva vs Universitatea Alba Iulia played?
- Cetate Deva vs Universitatea Alba Iulia is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Cetate I, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.