Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Lozova: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhzhia
The Footlab model makes Metalurh Zaporizhya the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Lozova. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Lozova?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Metalurh Zaporizhya (1,442) and Lozova (1,519).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalurh Zaporizhya have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Lozova have 0, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpiya Savyntsi(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Penuel(home) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oleksandria II(away) | 0-0 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | SC Poltava 2(away) | 0-0 | Druha Liga |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 0-4 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 1-6 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oleksandria II(home) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trostianets(away) | 0-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Bukovyna(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Metalurh Zaporizhya score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lozova score 0.5 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalurh Zaporizhya | 0.7 | 1.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Lozova | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalurh Zaporizhya sit 6th in Druha Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Lozova sit 9th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Lozova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Lozova?
- The Footlab model makes Metalurh Zaporizhya the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Lozova.
- Where and when is Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Lozova played?
- Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Lozova is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Slavutych-Arena, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.