Penuel vs Lozova: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Svitlo, Kryvyi Rih
The Footlab model makes Lozova the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Penuel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penuel vs Lozova?
Lozova starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,516 vs 1,406).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penuel have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Lozova have 0, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Metalurh Zaporizhya(away) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Poltava 2(home) | 1-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karbon Cherkasy(away) | 1-0 | Druha Liga |
| May 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 0-2 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 1-6 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oleksandria II(home) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trostianets(away) | 0-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Bukovyna(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Penuel score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lozova score 0.5 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penuel | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Lozova | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penuel sit 4th in Druha Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and Lozova sit 9th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Penuel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Lozova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penuel vs Lozova?
- The Footlab model makes Lozova the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Penuel.
- Where and when is Penuel vs Lozova played?
- Penuel vs Lozova is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Svitlo, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.