Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Atlet: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Slavutych-Arena, Zaporizhzhia
The Footlab model makes Atlet the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Metalurh Zaporizhya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Atlet?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Metalurh Zaporizhya (1,438) and Atlet (1,511).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalurh Zaporizhya have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Atlet have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpiya Savyntsi(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Penuel(home) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oleksandria II(away) | 0-0 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | SC Poltava 2(away) | 0-0 | Druha Liga |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 0-4 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trostianets(home) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Rebel(home) | 2-3 | Druha Liga |
| May 15, 2026 | Skala 1911 Stryi(away) | 1-3 | Druha Liga |
| May 10, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| May 6, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil II(away) | 1-3 | Druha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Metalurh Zaporizhya score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atlet score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalurh Zaporizhya | 0.7 | 1.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Atlet | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalurh Zaporizhya sit 6th in Druha Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Atlet sit 8th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Atlet | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Atlet?
- The Footlab model makes Atlet the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Metalurh Zaporizhya.
- Where and when is Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Atlet played?
- Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Atlet is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Slavutych-Arena, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.