MetroStars vs Sturt Lions: result 4-1 and analysis
South Australia NPLRegular Season - 21Kick-off on July 29, 2023 at 04:30 AM (UTC)T.K. Shutter Reserve, Adelaide
Full time
What was the result of MetroStars vs Sturt Lions?
MetroStars won 4-1 on July 29, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 28′?MetroStars (pen.)
- 52′?MetroStars
- 57′?MetroStars
- 60′?MetroStars
- 70′?Sturt Lions (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MetroStars have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Sturt Lions have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2023 | Adelaide Olympic(away) | 5-1 | South Australia NPL |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Adelaide City(home) | 4-0 | South Australia NPL |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Adelaide United II(away) | 2-1 | South Australia NPL |
| Jun 17, 2023 | South Adelaide Panthers(home) | 5-1 | South Australia NPL |
| Jun 10, 2023 | West Adelaide(away) | 3-2 | South Australia NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2023 | Modbury Jets(home) | 2-3 | South Australia NPL |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Adelaide Comets(home) | 2-0 | South Australia NPL |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Adelaide Olympic(away) | 0-3 | South Australia NPL |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Adelaide City(home) | 2-2 | South Australia NPL |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Adelaide United II(away) | 4-1 | South Australia NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 MetroStars win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sturt Lions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2023 | Sturt Lions 0-5 MetroStars | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Sturt Lions 0-1 MetroStars | South Australia NPL |
| May 14, 2022 | MetroStars 3-1 Sturt Lions | South Australia NPL |
| Oct 2, 2021 | MetroStars 0-0 Sturt Lions | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Sturt Lions 2-2 MetroStars | South Australia NPL |
| Jun 12, 2021 | MetroStars 3-0 Sturt Lions | South Australia NPL |
Last archived meeting: Sturt Lions vs MetroStars on Apr 29, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
MetroStars score 3.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sturt Lions score 1.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MetroStars | 3.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Sturt Lions | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MetroStars sit 3rd in South Australia NPL (44 points from 22 matches) and Sturt Lions sit 9th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | MetroStars | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 23 | 44 |
| 9 | Sturt Lions | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 36 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy