MetroStars vs West Torrens Birkalla: prediction and stats
South Australia NPLSemi-finalsKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)T.K. Shutter Reserve, Adelaide
The Footlab model makes MetroStars the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for West Torrens Birkalla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MetroStars vs West Torrens Birkalla?
MetroStars starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,978 vs 1,875).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MetroStars have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; West Torrens Birkalla have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Croydon Kings(home) | 2-0 | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Croydon Kings(home) | 2-0 | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Adelaide Comets(away) | 1-0 | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Adelaide United II(home) | 1-1 | South Australia NPL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | West Adelaide(home) | 1-3 | South Australia NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Adelaide United II(home) | 2-1 | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | West Adelaide(home) | 6-1 | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Playford City Patriots(away) | 1-0 | South Australia NPL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Adelaide City(away) | 0-1 | South Australia NPL |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Para Hills Knights(home) | 11-0 | South Australia NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 MetroStars win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 West Torrens Birkalla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | MetroStars 3-1 West Torrens Birkalla | South Australia NPL |
| Apr 10, 2026 | West Torrens Birkalla 0-0 MetroStars | South Australia NPL |
| Jul 5, 2025 | MetroStars 0-1 West Torrens Birkalla | South Australia NPL |
| Apr 11, 2025 | West Torrens Birkalla 0-1 MetroStars | South Australia NPL |
| Jul 30, 2022 | MetroStars 3-0 West Torrens Birkalla | South Australia NPL |
| Apr 30, 2022 | West Torrens Birkalla 0-1 MetroStars | South Australia NPL |
Last archived meeting: MetroStars vs West Torrens Birkalla on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MetroStars score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; West Torrens Birkalla score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MetroStars | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| West Torrens Birkalla | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MetroStars sit 3rd in South Australia NPL (44 points from 22 matches) and West Torrens Birkalla sit 2nd (45 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 45 |
| 3 | MetroStars | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 23 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MetroStars vs West Torrens Birkalla?
- The Footlab model makes MetroStars the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for West Torrens Birkalla.
- Where and when is MetroStars vs West Torrens Birkalla played?
- MetroStars vs West Torrens Birkalla is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at T.K. Shutter Reserve, in the South Australia NPL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.