Playford City Patriots vs Adelaide City: prediction and stats
South Australia NPLSemi-finalsKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:30 AM (UTC)Ramsay Park, Elizabeth West, Edinburgh North
The Footlab model makes Adelaide City the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Playford City Patriots. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Playford City Patriots vs Adelaide City?
Adelaide City starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,979 vs 1,829).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Playford City Patriots have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Adelaide City have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FK Beograd(home) | 3-0 | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | West Adelaide(away) | 2-1 | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Adelaide City(away) | 0-1 | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Torrens Birkalla(home) | 0-1 | South Australia NPL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Para Hills Knights(away) | 4-2 | South Australia NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | FK Beograd(away) | 3-0 | South Australia NPL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Playford City Patriots(home) | 1-0 | South Australia NPL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Campbelltown City(away) | 4-0 | South Australia NPL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | West Torrens Birkalla(home) | 1-0 | South Australia NPL |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Croydon Kings(home) | 2-2 | South Australia NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Playford City Patriots win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Adelaide City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Adelaide City 1-0 Playford City Patriots | South Australia NPL |
| May 16, 2026 | Playford City Patriots 0-0 Adelaide City | South Australia NPL |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Adelaide City 2-0 Playford City Patriots | South Australia NPL |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Playford City Patriots 3-4 Adelaide City | South Australia NPL |
Last archived meeting: Adelaide City vs Playford City Patriots on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Playford City Patriots score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Adelaide City score 1.8 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Playford City Patriots | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Adelaide City | 1.8 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Playford City Patriots sit 4th in South Australia NPL (35 points from 22 matches) and Adelaide City sit 1st (48 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide City | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 44 | 16 | 48 |
| 4 | Playford City Patriots | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Playford City Patriots vs Adelaide City?
- The Footlab model makes Adelaide City the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Playford City Patriots.
- Where and when is Playford City Patriots vs Adelaide City played?
- Playford City Patriots vs Adelaide City is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:30 AM (UTC) at Ramsay Park, in the South Australia NPL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.