Metz vs Dunkerque: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 25Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz
The Footlab AI model makes Metz the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Dunkerque. The most likely score is 1-1. If Metz wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metz vs Dunkerque?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Metz (1,844) and Dunkerque (1,823).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Metz vs Dunkerque
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Metz
4-2-3-1- 11P. Fall
- 8J. Deminguet
- 9G. Abuashvili
- 18B. Munongo
- 10T. Savanier
- 12A. Touré
- 42C. Devenish
- 70B. Sarr
- 3F. Miguel
- 5J. Ruiz
- 1J. Fischer
Dunkerque
4-2-3-1- 19S. Keita
- 11E. Prutsev
- 10A. Lebeau
- 18Théna Massock
- 6J. Morel
- 7K. Ayari
- 27A. Linguet
- 26Opa Sanganté
- 24L. Vallier
- 2O. Touré
- 73Moha Airam
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metz have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Dunkerque have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Annecy(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PAU(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Metz wins, 0 draws, 0 Dunkerque wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Metz 1-0 Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Dunkerque 2-3 Metz | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 9, 2024 | Metz 2-0 Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 7, 2018 | Dunkerque 2-4 Metz | Coupe de France |
How many goals should we expect?
Metz score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dunkerque score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Dunkerque | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metz sit 10th in Ligue 2 (10 points from 8 matches) and Dunkerque sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Metz | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Metz vs Dunkerque?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metz vs Dunkerque?
- The Footlab AI model makes Metz the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Dunkerque.
- Where and when is Metz vs Dunkerque played?
- Metz vs Dunkerque is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Saint-Symphorien, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.