Nantes vs Saint Etienne: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 25Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Nantes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Saint Etienne wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,785 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nantes vs Saint Etienne?
Saint Etienne starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,876).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nantes vs Saint Etienne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nantes
3-4-3- 27T. Robinet
- 23W. Younoussa
- 12K. Corredor
- 26R. Hachem
- 13F. Doucouré
- 28I. Sissoko
- 8J. Lepenant
- 5L. Perrin
- 4S. Sow
- 98K. Amian
- 30P. Carlgren
Saint Etienne
4-2-3-1- 7I. Cardona
- 6M. Bernauer
- 8T. Ballo
- 14Á. Csongvai
- 20A. Boakye
- 10J. Breum
- 18S. Nair
- 23K. Pedro
- 11B. Old
- 26J. Le Cardinal
- 30G. Larsonneur
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 02:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nantes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Saint Etienne have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dunkerque(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reims(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Metz(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nantes win, 5 draws, 0 Saint Etienne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Saint Etienne 1-1 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Nantes 2-2 Saint Etienne | Ligue 1 |
| May 21, 2022 | Nantes 1-1 Saint Etienne | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 22, 2021 | Saint Etienne 0-1 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Saint Etienne 1-1 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Nantes 2-2 Saint Etienne | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Saint Etienne vs Nantes on Jan 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nantes score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Saint Etienne score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Saint Etienne | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nantes sit 14th in Ligue 2 (8 points from 9 matches) and Saint Etienne sit 1st (22 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
| 14 | Nantes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
A question about Nantes vs Saint Etienne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nantes vs Saint Etienne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Nantes.
- Where and when is Nantes vs Saint Etienne played?
- Nantes vs Saint Etienne is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.