Mexico U17 W vs Australia U17 W: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17 - WomenWorld Cup Women U17 - 3Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Mexico U17 W the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Australia U17 W. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mexico U17 W vs Australia U17 W?
Mexico U17 W starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,669 vs 1,512).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico U17 W have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Australia U17 W have 2, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Canada W U17(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Costa Rica W U17(home) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Women U17 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Panama W U17(away) | 6-1 | CONCACAF Women U17 |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Jamaica W U17(home) | 9-0 | CONCACAF Women U17 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Poland U17 W(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Women |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Japan U17 W(away) | 0-4 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 11, 2026 | Vietnam U17 W(away) | 2-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 8, 2026 | Japan U17 W(away) | 0-5 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 5, 2026 | Lebanon U17 W(away) | 1-1 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
| May 2, 2026 | India U17 W(home) | 2-0 | AFC U17 Asian Cup - Women |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico U17 W score 2.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Australia U17 W score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico U17 W | 2.3 | 0.6 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Australia U17 W | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 3/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mexico U17 W vs Australia U17 W?
- The Footlab model makes Mexico U17 W the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Australia U17 W.
- Where and when is Mexico U17 W vs Australia U17 W played?
- Mexico U17 W vs Australia U17 W is played on October 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the World Cup - U17 - Women.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.